WEBVTT

00:00:00.009 --> 00:00:02.140
So let me ask you about this, this guidance

00:00:02.149 --> 00:00:04.599
and the, the, the the contrast that we

00:00:04.610 --> 00:00:07.089
see in the guidance message versus what you're sort of

00:00:07.099 --> 00:00:10.060
reporting backward looking on the on the guidance, you've

00:00:10.069 --> 00:00:13.079
increased guidance around return on tangible equity around net interest

00:00:13.089 --> 00:00:16.228
margins. But on the second quarter, it seems

00:00:16.239 --> 00:00:19.420
that you've you've missed estimates because of higher impairment charges

00:00:19.429 --> 00:00:21.339
. What kind of message are you looking to to

00:00:21.350 --> 00:00:25.068
pass on to the market this morning morning, Anna

00:00:25.079 --> 00:00:26.260
? It's great to be here. So, I

00:00:26.269 --> 00:00:27.839
mean, first of all, we had robust financial

00:00:27.850 --> 00:00:31.199
performance in the first quarter. It's obviously a challenging

00:00:31.208 --> 00:00:33.709
external environment for our customers in this context. And

00:00:33.719 --> 00:00:35.859
we've had a lot of focus on supporting customers,

00:00:35.868 --> 00:00:39.359
but what we've announced today are robust financial performance for

00:00:39.368 --> 00:00:41.478
Q two. And as you say, we had

00:00:41.490 --> 00:00:45.868
guided to the year 2023 evolving in a very specific

00:00:45.880 --> 00:00:48.039
way. And we've actually raised our guidance for the

00:00:48.048 --> 00:00:50.090
second part of the year. I think the third

00:00:50.098 --> 00:00:52.609
message, which is really important is the confidence we

00:00:52.618 --> 00:00:56.279
have around the strategy we're executing and our recommitment to

00:00:56.289 --> 00:00:59.829
our targets for really growing the organization and supporting our

00:00:59.840 --> 00:01:03.379
customers in 2024 and 2026. Mm. Ok.

00:01:03.388 --> 00:01:04.549
So, so those are the, that, that's

00:01:04.558 --> 00:01:07.109
your commitment there on the uh second quarter numbers though

00:01:07.120 --> 00:01:10.609
, that higher impairment charge. What's the trajectory that

00:01:10.620 --> 00:01:12.049
you now brace for though, in terms of impairments

00:01:12.058 --> 00:01:15.808
at Lloyds Banking Group? Yeah, actually in terms

00:01:15.819 --> 00:01:18.430
of our impairments and our credit uh performance, it's

00:01:18.439 --> 00:01:19.790
been really resilient. We guided at the start of

00:01:19.799 --> 00:01:23.430
the year and in Q one, our impairment numbers

00:01:23.439 --> 00:01:26.049
were about 30 basis points. Uh in terms of

00:01:26.058 --> 00:01:27.209
our guidance for the year, when you look at

00:01:27.219 --> 00:01:30.269
the underlying impairments for quarter quarter two, it was

00:01:30.278 --> 00:01:33.730
29 basis points so very much in line with our

00:01:33.739 --> 00:01:34.959
guidance. And that's what we continue to see real

00:01:34.969 --> 00:01:40.010
resilience around our credit portfolios that the additional add on

00:01:40.019 --> 00:01:42.109
in Q two was specific to some economic scenarios.

00:01:42.120 --> 00:01:46.799
We updated our outlook for the economy and although it's

00:01:46.808 --> 00:01:49.620
a bit stronger in 2023 we actually are saying that

00:01:49.629 --> 00:01:51.480
there's not going to be a recession in 2023.

00:01:51.489 --> 00:01:53.099
Now, there's going to be modest growth. We

00:01:53.109 --> 00:01:57.510
are also predicting because rates will be higher for longer

00:01:57.638 --> 00:02:00.469
, that unemployment will get a bit higher in 2025

00:02:00.480 --> 00:02:02.189
. And so the economic adjustments we made to our

00:02:02.198 --> 00:02:07.028
impairments reflect that forward looking view, underlying impairments show

00:02:07.040 --> 00:02:08.389
real resilience. And we're guiding to the same guidance

00:02:08.399 --> 00:02:10.189
we've given for the last six months

