WEBVTT

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okay, but any changes in like serious props at

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this point here, eric Phillies have home field advantage

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at this point, Maybe look for fillies in five

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for some value, Would you take it? I

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wouldn't, but it's not insane. Three coin flips

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. If you called all these games coin flips,

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you'd expect to get plus 700 on a team winning

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three in a row, Phillies look like they were

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plus 6 50. So that says that they're actually

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slightly more than a coin flip to win these games

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. I don't think that's accurate. I think they're

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the weaker team, especially in games three and four

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when they're unlikely to have one of their two aces

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on the mound. If you want to say that

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the Philly crowd has been powering them through throughout the

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playoffs and I don't I don't want to be like

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overly Philly biased here, but it's more than Philly

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people who say that the Philly crowd is quite a

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good crowd. So maybe you want to say that

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they're better than just you know, the raw strength

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of the two rosters and you do want to take

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that bet. I think the safer one is probably

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Phillies minus 1.5 games. That would be Phillies winning

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in five or six plus 2 60. I think

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that fits in the sweet spot because the game I

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don't trust the Phillies in Game seven, Game sevens

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tend to be whole staff versus whole staff Astros just

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have far more trustworthy pitchers, especially if Aaron Nola

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and Zack wheeler pitch in game five and game six

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and and most, maybe you get one inning from

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Nola in that Game seven. So if the Phillies

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are going to win, I don't think it's happening

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in seven games. If you're taking their side,

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consider that much higher payout on the Phillies, minus

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1.5 games.

