So your favorite money line bet to start your thirsty
Thursday is what I'm gonna keep riding with the Padres
. Uh, they're only minus 1 20 with,
I guess you could say their ace on the hill
. I mean, Joe Musgrove and Yu Darvish,
very good pitchers, but Blake Snell has been otherworldly
the last two months. He is only allowed three
earned runs total in his last nine starts. That
equates out to a 0.51 a, it is across
53 innings of work. Uh, he's got a
41% strikeout rate in that span of time. I
just think Snell is probably deserving of a little bit
more respect. Obviously, the caveat with Snell is
he's probably only gonna pitch five or six innings.
He's not the most economic pitcher in the entire world
. So maybe taking a look at the Padres.
I know first five run line, they're actually plus
100. Uh, so maybe that's a way to
attack this game aside from the money line if you
don't want to get the bullpens involved. But the
Padres also have six left handed bats going today against
Chris Bassett. He really has struggled against left handed
bats. The Blue Jays have been far better against
right handed pitching than left handed pitching so far this
season, just a 98 WRC plus within that split
. So I think a lot of things point in
the direction to Padres today. They're not that heavy
favorites on the road, so I'll ride with them
to get the sweep. Blake Snell currently with the
third best odds to win the Nl Cy Young award
on the draft. Team. Sports book to be
Danny Spencer Strider is atop that category on the DK
sports book. We know the Braves trying to avoid
the sweep today. Yeah, and look, I'm
on the same case here though, in terms of
the Padres, I'm going with the first five on
the money line there for San Diego. Reiterating the
same thoughts Blake Snell has been tremendous last 10 starts
. He's 5 to 1. He's only allowed four
earned runs in that span. And look, I'm
not expecting him to be flawless today per se against
a still lethal Toronto lineup trying to avoid a sweep
, but I think he could do enough manage and
more so I think these Padres Bats are finally coming
alive and they're going to do enough to give them
that slight edge in the first five. And look
, typically when you're going up against a competent team
and they're facing a sweep, you like to bet
on that team that is trying to avoid the sweep
, but the Padres desperately need this. And that's
kind of also why I'm going in the angle of
the first five because I don't want to trust San
Diego's bullpen necessarily. This is a handicap on Blake
Snell and a F of Chris Bassett. And then
furthermore, like I said, the Blue Jays Bats
could come alive once Snell gets out of that game
relatively early as it was mentioned earlier. So I
don't mind laying minus the box 30 for the first
five here with San Diego. Just keeping all my
trust in Blake Snell and the way he's performed as
a blade easy. E your Phillies at home against
the Brewers. Walker's won seven straight on the mound
, dude. Yeah, that, that's an exciting
run for him. I don't know if I'd like
the Phillies at minus 1 10 against Corbin Burns.
I don't think that line is set crazy, but
I don't think I'd be recommending the Phillies there,
but I will give you the Spencer strider talk that
you were looking for, uh, a question ago
. Uh, but I'm taking the Diamondbacks side of
this diamond backs plus 1 70 at Atlanta. It's
not often that you get two playoff teams. Uh
Atlanta, uh Arizona is still a playoff team as
despite their recent slide, it's not often that you
get two teams that are this good with legitimate aces
on the mound and one of them you get plus
1 70. Uh I mean, I would,
of course, take Atlanta at even money. I
think there's good reason that they're comfortable favorites here.
They've got Spencer Strider. Who? Yeah, he
allowed five earned runs in his last start, but
that came with 10 strikeouts against zero walks. So
I don't think it counts as a bad start.
Uh, Strider on the year. 3 66 a
with a 2 64. Sierra suggests that he actually
could be significantly better because he's yet again striking out
basically everyone, 39% strikeout rate, but Zach Gallon
is legitimate. Ace himself. 3 14, er
, a on the year is about half a run
better than some of the, er, a estimators
, but he's been very good across the board.
Strikes out above average amount of guys walks a below
average amount of guys. Arizona again has done worse
lately and I would definitely take Atlanta if this were
plus 1 30 plus 1 40 but plus 1 70
for the Diamondbacks with Gallon on the mound. That's
a deal. I think I got to take a
look at.